A westward shift of heatwave hotspots caused by warming-enhanced land–air coupling

Kaiwen Zhang, Zhiyan Zuo, Wei Mei, Renhe Zhang, Aiguo Dai

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

5 Scopus citations

Abstract

Heatwaves pose serious risks to human health and lives, but how their occurrence patterns may change under global warming remains unclear. Here we reveal a systematic westward shift of heatwave hotspots across the northern mid-latitudes around the late 1990s. Both observational analysis and numerical simulation show that this shift is caused by intensified soil moisture–atmosphere coupling (SAC) in eastern Europe, Northeast Asia and western North America under recent background warming. The strengthened SAC shifted the atmospheric high-amplitude Rossby wavenumber-5 pattern westwards to a preferred phase position, which increased the probability of the occurrence of high-pressure ridges over these 3 hotspots by a factor of up to 39. Our results highlight the importance of SAC in shaping heatwave patterns and large-scale atmospheric circulation and challenge the conventional view that the land surface only passively responds to atmospheric forcing.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2315330121
Pages (from-to)546-553
Number of pages8
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume15
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2025
Externally publishedYes

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