An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century

Melvyn Shapiro; Jagadish Shukla; Gilbert Brunet; Carlos Nobre; Michel Béland; Randall Dole; Kevin Trenberth; Richard Anthes; Ghassem Asrar; Leonard Barrie; Philippe Bougeault; Guy Brasseur; David Burridge; Antonio Busalacchi; Jim Caughey; Deliang Chen; John Church; Takeshi Enomoto; Brian Hoskins; Øystein Hov; Arlene Laing; Hervé Le Treut; Jochem Marotzke; Gordon McBean; Gerald Meehl; Martin Miller; Brian Mills; John Mitchell; Mitchell Moncrieff; Tetsuo Nakazawa; Haraldur Olafsson; Tim Palmer; David Parsons; David Rogers; Adrian Simmons; Alberto Troccoli; Zoltan Toth; Louis Uccellini; Christopher Velden; John M. Wallace

doi:10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century

Melvyn Shapiro
, Jagadish Shukla
, Gilbert Brunet
, Carlos Nobre
, Michel Béland
, Randall Dole
, Kevin Trenberth
, Richard Anthes
, Ghassem Asrar
, Leonard Barrie
, Philippe Bougeault
, Guy Brasseur
, David Burridge
, Antonio Busalacchi
, Jim Caughey
, Deliang Chen
, John Church
, Takeshi Enomoto
, Brian Hoskins
, Øystein Hov

Arlene Laing, Hervé Le Treut, Jochem Marotzke, Gordon McBean, Gerald Meehl, Martin Miller, Brian Mills, John Mitchell, Mitchell Moncrieff, Tetsuo Nakazawa, Haraldur Olafsson, Tim Palmer, David Parsons, David Rogers, Adrian Simmons, Alberto Troccoli, Zoltan Toth, Louis Uccellini, Christopher Velden, John M. Wallace

National Center for Atmospheric Research
University of Bergen
George Mason University
Institute of Global Environment and Society
Université Laval and Environment and Climate Change Canada
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
University Corporation of Atmospheric Research
United Nations
Météo France
Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon
University of Maryland, College Park
University of Gothenburg
International Council for Science
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
University of Reading
Imperial College London
Norwegian Meteorological Institute
Ecole Polytechnique
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Western University
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Met Office
Japan Meteorological Agency
University of Iceland
University of Oxford
Health and Climate Foundation
University of Wisconsin-Madison
University of Washington

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

92 Scopus citations

Abstract

Some scientists have proposed the Earth-System Prediction Initiative (EPI) at the 2007 GEO Summit in Cape Town, South Africa. EPI will draw upon coordination between international programs for Earth system observations, prediction, and warning, such as the WCRP, WWRP, GCOS, and hence contribute to GEO and the GEOSS. It will link with international organizations, such as the International Council for Science (ICSU), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), UNEP, WMO, and World Health Organization (WHO). The proposed initiative will provide high-resolution climate models that capture the properties of regional high-impact weather events, such as tropical cyclones, heat wave, and sand and dust storms associated within multi-decadal climate projections of climate variability and change. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for the success of EPI.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1377-1388
Number of pages	12
Journal	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume	91
Issue number	10
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1
State	Published - Oct 2010
Externally published	Yes

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10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

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Shapiro, M., Shukla, J., Brunet, G., Nobre, C., Béland, M., Dole, R., Trenberth, K., Anthes, R., Asrar, G., Barrie, L., Bougeault, P., Brasseur, G., Burridge, D., Busalacchi, A., Caughey, J., Chen, D., Church, J., Enomoto, T., Hoskins, B., ... Wallace, J. M. (2010). An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(10), 1377-1388. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

@article{15a8b0ae803947198a5be72cec0175b3,

title = "An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century",

abstract = "Some scientists have proposed the Earth-System Prediction Initiative (EPI) at the 2007 GEO Summit in Cape Town, South Africa. EPI will draw upon coordination between international programs for Earth system observations, prediction, and warning, such as the WCRP, WWRP, GCOS, and hence contribute to GEO and the GEOSS. It will link with international organizations, such as the International Council for Science (ICSU), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), UNEP, WMO, and World Health Organization (WHO). The proposed initiative will provide high-resolution climate models that capture the properties of regional high-impact weather events, such as tropical cyclones, heat wave, and sand and dust storms associated within multi-decadal climate projections of climate variability and change. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for the success of EPI.",

author = "Melvyn Shapiro and Jagadish Shukla and Gilbert Brunet and Carlos Nobre and Michel B{\'e}land and Randall Dole and Kevin Trenberth and Richard Anthes and Ghassem Asrar and Leonard Barrie and Philippe Bougeault and Guy Brasseur and David Burridge and Antonio Busalacchi and Jim Caughey and Deliang Chen and John Church and Takeshi Enomoto and Brian Hoskins and {\O}ystein Hov and Arlene Laing and \{Le Treut\}, Herv{\'e} and Jochem Marotzke and Gordon McBean and Gerald Meehl and Martin Miller and Brian Mills and John Mitchell and Mitchell Moncrieff and Tetsuo Nakazawa and Haraldur Olafsson and Tim Palmer and David Parsons and David Rogers and Adrian Simmons and Alberto Troccoli and Zoltan Toth and Louis Uccellini and Christopher Velden and Wallace, \{John M.\}",

year = "2010",

month = oct,

doi = "10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1",

language = "English",

volume = "91",

pages = "1377--1388",

journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",

issn = "0003-0007",

publisher = "American Meteorological Society",

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}

Shapiro, M, Shukla, J, Brunet, G, Nobre, C, Béland, M, Dole, R, Trenberth, K, Anthes, R, Asrar, G, Barrie, L, Bougeault, P, Brasseur, G, Burridge, D, Busalacchi, A, Caughey, J, Chen, D, Church, J, Enomoto, T, Hoskins, B, Hov, Ø, Laing, A, Le Treut, H, Marotzke, J, McBean, G, Meehl, G, Miller, M, Mills, B, Mitchell, J, Moncrieff, M, Nakazawa, T, Olafsson, H, Palmer, T, Parsons, D, Rogers, D, Simmons, A, Troccoli, A, Toth, Z, Uccellini, L, Velden, C & Wallace, JM 2010, 'An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 91, no. 10, pp. 1377-1388. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

TY - JOUR

T1 - An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century

AU - Shapiro, Melvyn

AU - Shukla, Jagadish

AU - Brunet, Gilbert

AU - Nobre, Carlos

AU - Béland, Michel

AU - Dole, Randall

AU - Trenberth, Kevin

AU - Anthes, Richard

AU - Asrar, Ghassem

AU - Barrie, Leonard

AU - Bougeault, Philippe

AU - Brasseur, Guy

AU - Burridge, David

AU - Busalacchi, Antonio

AU - Caughey, Jim

AU - Chen, Deliang

AU - Church, John

AU - Enomoto, Takeshi

AU - Hoskins, Brian

AU - Hov, Øystein

AU - Laing, Arlene

AU - Le Treut, Hervé

AU - Marotzke, Jochem

AU - McBean, Gordon

AU - Meehl, Gerald

AU - Miller, Martin

AU - Mills, Brian

AU - Mitchell, John

AU - Moncrieff, Mitchell

AU - Nakazawa, Tetsuo

AU - Olafsson, Haraldur

AU - Palmer, Tim

AU - Parsons, David

AU - Rogers, David

AU - Simmons, Adrian

AU - Troccoli, Alberto

AU - Toth, Zoltan

AU - Uccellini, Louis

AU - Velden, Christopher

AU - Wallace, John M.

PY - 2010/10

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N2 - Some scientists have proposed the Earth-System Prediction Initiative (EPI) at the 2007 GEO Summit in Cape Town, South Africa. EPI will draw upon coordination between international programs for Earth system observations, prediction, and warning, such as the WCRP, WWRP, GCOS, and hence contribute to GEO and the GEOSS. It will link with international organizations, such as the International Council for Science (ICSU), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), UNEP, WMO, and World Health Organization (WHO). The proposed initiative will provide high-resolution climate models that capture the properties of regional high-impact weather events, such as tropical cyclones, heat wave, and sand and dust storms associated within multi-decadal climate projections of climate variability and change. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for the success of EPI.

AB - Some scientists have proposed the Earth-System Prediction Initiative (EPI) at the 2007 GEO Summit in Cape Town, South Africa. EPI will draw upon coordination between international programs for Earth system observations, prediction, and warning, such as the WCRP, WWRP, GCOS, and hence contribute to GEO and the GEOSS. It will link with international organizations, such as the International Council for Science (ICSU), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), UNEP, WMO, and World Health Organization (WHO). The proposed initiative will provide high-resolution climate models that capture the properties of regional high-impact weather events, such as tropical cyclones, heat wave, and sand and dust storms associated within multi-decadal climate projections of climate variability and change. Unprecedented international collaboration and goodwill are necessary for the success of EPI.

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/77956254605

U2 - 10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

DO - 10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:77956254605

SN - 0003-0007

VL - 91

SP - 1377

EP - 1388

JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

IS - 10

ER -

An Earth-system prediction initiative for the twenty-first century

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