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Another Record: Ocean Warming Continues through 2021 despite La Niña Conditions

  • Lijing Cheng
  • , John Abraham
  • , Kevin E. Trenberth
  • , John Fasullo
  • , Tim Boyer
  • , Michael E. Mann
  • , Jiang Zhu
  • , Fan Wang
  • , Ricardo Locarnini
  • , Yuanlong Li
  • , Bin Zhang
  • , Zhetao Tan
  • , Fujiang Yu
  • , Liying Wan
  • , Xingrong Chen
  • , Xiangzhou Song
  • , Yulong Liu
  • , Franco Reseghetti
  • , Simona Simoncelli
  • , Viktor Gouretski
  • Gengxin Chen, Alexey Mishonov, Jim Reagan
  • CAS - Institute of Atmospheric Physics
  • Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • University of St. Thomas, Minnesota
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
  • Pennsylvania State University
  • CAS - Institute of Oceanology
  • Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China
  • Hohai University
  • National Marine Data and Information Service
  • Agenzia nazionale per le nuove tecnologie, l'energia e lo sviluppo economico sostenibile
  • Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica E Vulcanologia
  • CAS - South China Sea Institute of Oceanology
  • University of Maryland, College Park

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

80 Scopus citations

Abstract

The increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from human activities traps heat within the climate system and increases ocean heat content (OHC). Here, we provide the first analysis of recent OHC changes through 2021 from two international groups. The world ocean, in 2021, was the hottest ever recorded by humans, and the 2021 annual OHC value is even higher than last year’s record value by 14 ± 11 ZJ (1 zetta J = 1021 J) using the IAP/CAS dataset and by 16 ± 10 ZJ using NCEI/NOAA dataset. The long-term ocean warming is larger in the Atlantic and Southern Oceans than in other regions and is mainly attributed, via climate model simulations, to an increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations. The year-to-year variation of OHC is primarily tied to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In the seven maritime domains of the Indian, Tropical Atlantic, North Atlantic, Northwest Pacific, North Pacific, Southern oceans, and the Mediterranean Sea, robust warming is observed but with distinct inter-annual to decadal variability. Four out of seven domains showed record-high heat content in 2021. The anomalous global and regional ocean warming established in this study should be incorporated into climate risk assessments, adaptation, and mitigation.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)373-385
Number of pages13
JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences
Volume39
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2022

Keywords

  • La Niña
  • attribution
  • observation
  • ocean heat
  • ocean warming

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