Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes

Wenju Cai; Fan Jia; Shujun Li; Ariaan Purich; Guojian Wang; Lixin Wu; Bolan Gan; Agus Santoso; Tao Geng; Benjamin Ng; Yun Yang; David Ferreira; Gerald A. Meehl; Michael J. McPhaden

doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x

Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes

Wenju Cai, Fan Jia, Shujun Li, Ariaan Purich, Guojian Wang, Lixin Wu, Bolan Gan, Agus Santoso, Tao Geng, Benjamin Ng, Yun Yang, David Ferreira, Gerald A. Meehl, Michael J. McPhaden

Earth System Predictability

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

32 Scopus citations

Abstract

Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El Niño variability has been found to slow future mid-latitude Southern Ocean warming but how this impacts the Antarctic shelf ocean is unknown. Here we show that a projected increase in El Niño variability accelerates Antarctic shelf ocean warming, hastening ice shelf/sheet melt but slowing sea ice reduction.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	235-239
Number of pages	5
Journal	Nature Climate Change
Volume	13
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x
State	Published - Mar 2023

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title = "Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Ni{\~n}o changes",

abstract = "Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El Ni{\~n}o variability has been found to slow future mid-latitude Southern Ocean warming but how this impacts the Antarctic shelf ocean is unknown. Here we show that a projected increase in El Ni{\~n}o variability accelerates Antarctic shelf ocean warming, hastening ice shelf/sheet melt but slowing sea ice reduction.",

author = "Wenju Cai and Fan Jia and Shujun Li and Ariaan Purich and Guojian Wang and Lixin Wu and Bolan Gan and Agus Santoso and Tao Geng and Benjamin Ng and Yun Yang and David Ferreira and Meehl, \{Gerald A.\} and McPhaden, \{Michael J.\}",

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doi = "10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x",

language = "English",

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T1 - Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes

AU - Cai, Wenju

AU - Jia, Fan

AU - Li, Shujun

AU - Purich, Ariaan

AU - Wang, Guojian

AU - Wu, Lixin

AU - Gan, Bolan

AU - Santoso, Agus

AU - Geng, Tao

AU - Ng, Benjamin

AU - Yang, Yun

AU - Ferreira, David

AU - Meehl, Gerald A.

AU - McPhaden, Michael J.

PY - 2023/3

Y1 - 2023/3

N2 - Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El Niño variability has been found to slow future mid-latitude Southern Ocean warming but how this impacts the Antarctic shelf ocean is unknown. Here we show that a projected increase in El Niño variability accelerates Antarctic shelf ocean warming, hastening ice shelf/sheet melt but slowing sea ice reduction.

AB - Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El Niño variability has been found to slow future mid-latitude Southern Ocean warming but how this impacts the Antarctic shelf ocean is unknown. Here we show that a projected increase in El Niño variability accelerates Antarctic shelf ocean warming, hastening ice shelf/sheet melt but slowing sea ice reduction.

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85148442182

U2 - 10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x

DO - 10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85148442182

SN - 1758-678X

VL - 13

SP - 235

EP - 239

JO - Nature Climate Change

JF - Nature Climate Change

IS - 3

ER -

Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes

Abstract

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