Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 earth system models

Vivek K. Arora, George J. Boer, Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael Eby, Chris D. Jones, James R. Christian, Gordon Bonan, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Patricia Cadule, Tomohiro Hajima, Tatiana Ilyina, Keith Lindsay, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Tongwen Wu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

544 Scopus citations

Abstract

The magnitude and evolution of parameters that characterize feedbacks in the coupled carbon-climate system are compared across nine Earth system models (ESMs). The analysis is based on results from biogeochemically, radiatively, and fully coupled simulations in which CO2 increases at a rate of 1%yr-1. These simulations are part of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The CO2 fluxes between the atmosphere and underlying land and ocean respond to changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration and to changes in temperature and other climate variables. The carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedback parameters characterize the response ofthe CO2 flux between the atmosphere and the underlying surface to these changes. Feedbackparameters are calculated using two different approaches. The two approaches are equivalent and either may be used to calculate the contribution of the feedback terms to diagnosed cumulative emissions. The contribution of carbon-concentration feedback to diagnosedcumulative emissions that are consistent with the 1% increasing CO2 concentration scenario is about 4.5 times larger than the carbon-climate feedback. Differences in the modeled responses of the carbon budget to changes in CO2 and temperature are seen to be 3-4times larger for the land components compared to the ocean components of participating models. The feedback parametersdepend on the state of the system as well the forcing scenario but nevertheless provide insight into the behavior of the coupled carbon-climate system and a useful common framework for comparing models.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)5289-5314
Number of pages26
JournalJournal of Climate
Volume26
Issue number15
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2013
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Carbon cycle
  • Carbon dioxide
  • Ecosystem effects

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