Chemistry-albedo feedbacks offset up to a third of forestation’s CO2 removal benefits

James Weber, James A. King, Nathan Luke Abraham, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Christopher J. Smith, Youngsub Matthew Shin, Peter Lawrence, Stephanie Roe, David J. Beerling, Maria Val Martin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

47 Scopus citations

Abstract

Forestation is widely proposed for carbon dioxide (CO2) removal, but its impact on climate through changes to atmospheric composition and surface albedo remains relatively unexplored. We assessed these responses using two Earth system models by comparing a scenario with extensive global forest expansion in suitable regions to other plausible futures. We found that forestation increased aerosol scattering and the greenhouse gases methane and ozone following increased biogenic organic emissions. Additionally, forestation decreased surface albedo, which yielded a positive radiative forcing (i.e., warming). This offset up to a third of the negative forcing from the additional CO2 removal under a 4°C warming scenario. However, when forestation was pursued alongside other strategies that achieve the 2°C Paris Agreement target, the offsetting positive forcing was smaller, highlighting the urgency for simultaneous emission reductions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)860-864
Number of pages5
JournalScience
Volume383
Issue number6685
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 23 2024

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