TY - JOUR
T1 - Chemistry-albedo feedbacks offset up to a third of forestation’s CO2 removal benefits
AU - Weber, James
AU - King, James A.
AU - Abraham, Nathan Luke
AU - Grosvenor, Daniel P.
AU - Smith, Christopher J.
AU - Shin, Youngsub Matthew
AU - Lawrence, Peter
AU - Roe, Stephanie
AU - Beerling, David J.
AU - Martin, Maria Val
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2024 the authors, some rights reserved;
PY - 2024/2/23
Y1 - 2024/2/23
N2 - Forestation is widely proposed for carbon dioxide (CO2) removal, but its impact on climate through changes to atmospheric composition and surface albedo remains relatively unexplored. We assessed these responses using two Earth system models by comparing a scenario with extensive global forest expansion in suitable regions to other plausible futures. We found that forestation increased aerosol scattering and the greenhouse gases methane and ozone following increased biogenic organic emissions. Additionally, forestation decreased surface albedo, which yielded a positive radiative forcing (i.e., warming). This offset up to a third of the negative forcing from the additional CO2 removal under a 4°C warming scenario. However, when forestation was pursued alongside other strategies that achieve the 2°C Paris Agreement target, the offsetting positive forcing was smaller, highlighting the urgency for simultaneous emission reductions.
AB - Forestation is widely proposed for carbon dioxide (CO2) removal, but its impact on climate through changes to atmospheric composition and surface albedo remains relatively unexplored. We assessed these responses using two Earth system models by comparing a scenario with extensive global forest expansion in suitable regions to other plausible futures. We found that forestation increased aerosol scattering and the greenhouse gases methane and ozone following increased biogenic organic emissions. Additionally, forestation decreased surface albedo, which yielded a positive radiative forcing (i.e., warming). This offset up to a third of the negative forcing from the additional CO2 removal under a 4°C warming scenario. However, when forestation was pursued alongside other strategies that achieve the 2°C Paris Agreement target, the offsetting positive forcing was smaller, highlighting the urgency for simultaneous emission reductions.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85185857472
U2 - 10.1126/science.adg6196
DO - 10.1126/science.adg6196
M3 - Article
C2 - 38386743
AN - SCOPUS:85185857472
SN - 0036-8075
VL - 383
SP - 860
EP - 864
JO - Science
JF - Science
IS - 6685
ER -