Chinese Regulations Are Working—Why Is Surface Ozone Over Industrialized Areas Still High? Applying Lessons From Northeast US Air Quality Evolution

Xiaokang Chen, Zhe Jiang, Yanan Shen, Rui Li, Yunfei Fu, Jane Liu, Han Han, Hong Liao, Xugeng Cheng, Dylan B.A. Jones, Helen Worden, Gonzalo González Abad

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73 Scopus citations

Abstract

Observational data indicate increasing trends of surface ozone (O3) in China, despite emission controls that have resulted in reductions of precursor emissions. Here, we explore the cause of this contradiction, through analysis of surface observations (2014–2019) in China and historical observation record in the United States (US, 1990–2019). Our observation-based analysis indicates that the reductions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions led to increase of surface O3 in North China Plain (NCP) and Yangtze River Delta (YRD) of around 8 ppb. However, NOx controls resulted in shift of O3 chemical regimes over NCP and YRD, with turning points between NOx- and volatile organic compound (VOC)-limited regimes around 2019, while model simulations suggest transitional or NOx-limited regimes over the rest of China. The impacts of high fine particles (PM2.5) on O3 formation has declined because of the reduction of PM2.5 concentrations. Stricter NOx controls can mitigate O3 pollutions over industrialized areas in China.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2021GL092816
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume48
Issue number14
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 16 2021

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