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Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making

  • Jana Sillmann
  • , Timothy H. Raupach
  • , Kirsten L. Findell
  • , Markus Donat
  • , Lincoln M. Alves
  • , Lisa Alexander
  • , Leonard Borchert
  • , Pablo Borges de Amorim
  • , Carlo Buontempo
  • , Erich M. Fischer
  • , Christian L. Franzke
  • , Bin Guan
  • , Marjolijn Haasnoot
  • , Ed Hawkins
  • , Daniela Jacob
  • , Roché Mahon
  • , Douglas Maraun
  • , Monica A. Morrison
  • , Benjamin Poschlod
  • , Alex C. Ruane
  • Shampa, Tannecia Stephenson, Narelle van der Wel, Zhuo Wang, Xuebin Zhang, Josipa Županić
  • University of Hamburg
  • CICERO Center for International Climate Research
  • University of New South Wales
  • ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
  • Barcelona Supercomputing Centre
  • ICREA
  • Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
  • Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)
  • European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
  • Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich
  • Institute for Basic Science
  • Pusan National University
  • University of California
  • Utrecht University
  • Deltares
  • University of Reading
  • Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon
  • Caribbean Institute for Meterology and Hydrology
  • University of Graz
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research
  • NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
  • Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology
  • United Nations
  • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  • University of Victoria BC

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

The World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) envisions a future where actionable climate information is universally accessible, supporting decision makers in preparing for and responding to climate change. In this perspective, we advocate for enhancing links between climate science and decision-making through a better and more decision-relevant understanding of climate impacts. The proposed framework comprises three pillars: climate science, impact science, and decision-making, focusing on generating seamless climate information from sub-seasonal, seasonal, decadal to century timescales informed by observed climate events and their impacts. The link between climate science and decision-making has strengthened in recent years, partly owing to undeniable impacts arising from disastrous weather extremes. Enhancing decision-relevant understanding involves utilizing lessons from past extreme events and implementing impact-based early warning systems to improve resilience. Integrated risk assessment and management require a comprehensive approach that encompasses good knowledge about possible impacts, hazard identification, monitoring, and communication of risks while acknowledging uncertainties inherent in climate predictions and projections, but not letting the uncertainty lead to decision paralysis. The importance of data accessibility, especially in the Global South, underscores the need for better coordination and resource allocation. Strategic frameworks should aim to enhance impact-related and open-access climate services around the world. Continuous improvements in predictive modeling and observational data are critical, as is ensuring that climate science remains relevant to decision makers locally and globally. Ultimately, fostering stronger collaborations and dedicated investments to process and tailor climate data will enhance societal preparedness, enabling communities to navigate the complexities of a changing climate effectively.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1499765
JournalFrontiers in Climate
Volume6
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • climate change
  • climate extremes
  • climate impacts
  • climate risk
  • climate service
  • decision making

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