Abstract
Using numerical simulations, this study examines the sensitivity of hurricane intensity and structure to changes in the surface exchange coefficients and to changes in the length scales of a turbulence parameterization. Compared to other recent articles on the topic, this study uses higher vertical resolution, more values for the turbulence length scales, a different initial environment (including higher sea surface temperature), a broader specification of surface exchange coefficients, a more realistic microphysics scheme, and a set of three-dimensional simulations. The primary conclusions from a recent study by Bryan and Rotunno are all upheld: maximum intensity is strongly affected by the horizontal turbulence length scale l h but not by the vertical turbulence length scale l v, and the ratio of surface exchange coefficients for enthalpy and momentum, C k/C d, has less effect on maximum wind speed than suggested by an often-cited theoretical model. The model output is further evaluated against various metrics of hurricane intensity and structure from recent observational studies, including maximum wind speed, minimum pressure, surface wind-pressure relationships, height of maximum wind, and surface inflow angle. The model settings l h≈ 1000 m, l v ≈ 50 m, and C k/C d ≈ 0.5 produce the most reasonable match to the observational studies. This article also reconciles a recent controversy about the likely value of C k/C d in high wind speeds by noting that simulations in a study by Emanuel used relatively large horizontal diffusion and low sea surface temperature. The model in this study can produce category 5 hurricanes with C k/C d as low as 0.25.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1125-1143 |
| Number of pages | 19 |
| Journal | Monthly Weather Review |
| Volume | 140 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Apr 2012 |
Keywords
- Hurricanes
- Numerical analysis/modeling
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