Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

Robert C. J. Wills; Clara Deser; Karen A. McKinnon; Adam Phillips; Stephen Po-Chedley; Sebastian Sippel; Anna L. Merrifield; Constantin Bone; Celine Bonfils; Gustau Camps-Valls; Stephen Cropper; Charlotte Connolly; Shiheng Duan; Homer Durand; Alexander Feigin; M. A. Fernandez; Guillaume Gastineau; Andrei Gavrilov; Emily Gordon; Moritz Guenther; Maren Hover; Sergey Kravtsov; Yan-Ning Kuo; Justin Lien; Gavin D. Madakumbura; Nathan Mankovich; Matthew Newman; Jamin Rader; Jia-Rui Shi; Sang-Ik Shin; Gherardo Varando

doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

Robert C. J. Wills
, Clara Deser
, Karen A. McKinnon
, Adam Phillips
, Stephen Po-Chedley
, Sebastian Sippel
, Anna L. Merrifield
, Constantin Bone
, Celine Bonfils
, Gustau Camps-Valls
, Stephen Cropper
, Charlotte Connolly
, Shiheng Duan
, Homer Durand
, Alexander Feigin
, M. A. Fernandez
, Guillaume Gastineau
, Andrei Gavrilov
, Emily Gordon
, Moritz Guenther

Maren Hover, Sergey Kravtsov, Yan-Ning Kuo, Justin Lien, Gavin D. Madakumbura, Nathan Mankovich, Matthew Newman, Jamin Rader, Jia-Rui Shi, Sang-Ik Shin, Gherardo Varando

Climate Analysis

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

1 Citation (Web of Science)

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1927-1953
Number of pages	27
Journal	Journal of Climate
Volume	39
Issue number	8
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1
State	Published - Apr 2026

Keywords

Climate attribution
Climate change
Ensembles
Interdecadal variability
Statistical techniques
Trends

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10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

Cite this

Wills, R. C. J., Deser, C., McKinnon, K. A., Phillips, A., Po-Chedley, S., Sippel, S., Merrifield, A. L., Bone, C., Bonfils, C., Camps-Valls, G., Cropper, S., Connolly, C., Duan, S., Durand, H., Feigin, A., Fernandez, M. A., Gastineau, G., Gavrilov, A., Gordon, E., ... Varando, G. (2026). Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP). Journal of Climate, 39(8), 1927-1953. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

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title = "Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)",

keywords = "Climate attribution, Climate change, Ensembles, Interdecadal variability, Statistical techniques, Trends",

author = "Wills, \{Robert C. J.\} and Clara Deser and McKinnon, \{Karen A.\} and Adam Phillips and Stephen Po-Chedley and Sebastian Sippel and Merrifield, \{Anna L.\} and Constantin Bone and Celine Bonfils and Gustau Camps-Valls and Stephen Cropper and Charlotte Connolly and Shiheng Duan and Homer Durand and Alexander Feigin and Fernandez, \{M. A.\} and Guillaume Gastineau and Andrei Gavrilov and Emily Gordon and Moritz Guenther and Maren Hover and Sergey Kravtsov and Yan-Ning Kuo and Justin Lien and Madakumbura, \{Gavin D.\} and Nathan Mankovich and Matthew Newman and Jamin Rader and Jia-Rui Shi and Sang-Ik Shin and Gherardo Varando",

year = "2026",

month = apr,

doi = "10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1",

language = "English",

volume = "39",

pages = "1927--1953",

journal = "Journal of Climate",

issn = "0894-8755",

publisher = "American Meteorological Society",

number = "8",

}

Wills, RCJ, Deser, C, McKinnon, KA, Phillips, A, Po-Chedley, S, Sippel, S, Merrifield, AL, Bone, C, Bonfils, C, Camps-Valls, G, Cropper, S, Connolly, C, Duan, S, Durand, H, Feigin, A, Fernandez, MA, Gastineau, G, Gavrilov, A, Gordon, E, Guenther, M, Hover, M, Kravtsov, S, Kuo, Y-N, Lien, J, Madakumbura, GD, Mankovich, N, Newman, M, Rader, J, Shi, J-R, Shin, S-I & Varando, G 2026, 'Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)', Journal of Climate, vol. 39, no. 8, pp. 1927-1953. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

TY - JOUR

T1 - Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

AU - Wills, Robert C. J.

AU - Deser, Clara

AU - McKinnon, Karen A.

AU - Phillips, Adam

AU - Po-Chedley, Stephen

AU - Sippel, Sebastian

AU - Merrifield, Anna L.

AU - Bone, Constantin

AU - Bonfils, Celine

AU - Camps-Valls, Gustau

AU - Cropper, Stephen

AU - Connolly, Charlotte

AU - Duan, Shiheng

AU - Durand, Homer

AU - Feigin, Alexander

AU - Fernandez, M. A.

AU - Gastineau, Guillaume

AU - Gavrilov, Andrei

AU - Gordon, Emily

AU - Guenther, Moritz

AU - Hover, Maren

AU - Kravtsov, Sergey

AU - Kuo, Yan-Ning

AU - Lien, Justin

AU - Madakumbura, Gavin D.

AU - Mankovich, Nathan

AU - Newman, Matthew

AU - Rader, Jamin

AU - Shi, Jia-Rui

AU - Shin, Sang-Ik

AU - Varando, Gherardo

PY - 2026/4

Y1 - 2026/4

KW - Climate attribution

KW - Climate change

KW - Ensembles

KW - Interdecadal variability

KW - Statistical techniques

KW - Trends

UR - https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=ncarpurestagin&SrcAuth=WosAPI&KeyUT=WOS:001720771600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS_CPL

U2 - 10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

DO - 10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0326.1

M3 - Article

SN - 0894-8755

VL - 39

SP - 1927

EP - 1953

JO - Journal of Climate

JF - Journal of Climate

IS - 8

ER -

Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP)

Keywords

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