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High Resolution Simulations of the Chemistry and Dynamics of the Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere During the 2018-2019 Sudden Stratosphere Warming

  • N. M. Pedatella
  • , H. L. Liu
  • , V. L. Harvey
  • , S. Datta-Barua
  • , N. Gulbrandsen
  • , C. Jacobi
  • , R. Latteck
  • , T. Renkwitz
  • , M. Tsutsumi
  • , J. L. Chau
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research
  • University Corporation of Atmospheric Research
  • University of Colorado Boulder
  • Illinois Institute of Technology
  • University of Tromsø – The Arctic University of Norway
  • Leipzig University
  • University of Rostock
  • Research Organization of Information and Systems, National Institute of Polar Research

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The 2018–2019 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is simulated using a high-resolution whole atmosphere model that includes interactive chemistry and constrained meteorology. The simulations are performed using a high-resolution (∼0.25 (Formula presented.)) configuration of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere-ionosphere eXtension (WACCM-X) with the meteorology constrained up to ∼10 hPa using ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5). The high-resolution WACCM-X simulations are compared to satellite and ground-based observations as well as two whole atmosphere data assimilation systems. Based on these comparisons, the high-resolution WACCM-X simulations are shown to alleviate two long-standing biases in low-resolution (∼2 (Formula presented.)) WACCM-X: a westward wind bias in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) at wintertime high-latitudes, and insufficient downward transport of nitric oxide (NO) following SSWs. The high-resolution simulations are also able to capture much of the day-to-day variability in MLT winds seen in meteor radar observations. The simulations represent the first meteorologically constrained high-resolution whole atmosphere simulations with fully interactive chemistry, and demonstrate that high-resolution whole atmosphere model simulations can significantly improve representation of dynamical and chemical variability in the middle and upper atmosphere during SSWs.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2026JD046764
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Volume131
Issue number14
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 28 2026
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • mesosphere and lower thermosphere
  • nitric oxide
  • WACCM-X
  • whole atmosphere model

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