Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Using the CMIP6 Database

Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Michaela I. Hegglin, Douglas Kinnison, David A. Plummer, Keith P. Shine

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

87 Scopus citations

Abstract

We calculate ozone radiative forcing (RF) and stratospheric temperature adjustments for the period 1850–2014 using the newly available Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) ozone data set. The CMIP6 total ozone RF (1850s to 2000s) is 0.28 ± 0.17 W m−2 (which is 80% higher than our CMIP5 estimation), and 0.30 ± 0.17 W m−2 out to the present day (2014). The total ozone RF grows rapidly until the 1970s, slows toward the 2000s, and shows a renewed growth thereafter. Since the 1990s the shortwave RF exceeds the longwave RF. Global stratospheric ozone RF is positive between 1930 and 1970 and then turns negative but remains positive in the Northern Hemisphere throughout. Derived stratospheric temperature changes show a localized cooling in the subtropical lower stratosphere due to tropospheric ozone increases and cooling in the upper stratosphere due to ozone depletion by more than 1 K already prior to the satellite era (1980) and by more than 2 K out to the present day (2014).

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3264-3273
Number of pages10
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume45
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 16 2018

Keywords

  • CMIP6
  • ozone
  • radiative forcing
  • stratosphere
  • stratospheric adjusted temperatures
  • troposphere

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