TY - JOUR
T1 - Implementation and validation of a supermodeling framework into Community Earth System Model version 2.1.5
AU - Chapman, William E.
AU - Schevenhoven, Francine
AU - Berner, Judith
AU - Keenlyside, Noel
AU - Bethke, Ingo
AU - Chiu, Ping Gin
AU - Gupta, Alok
AU - Nusbaumer, Jesse
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2025 William E. Chapman et al.
PY - 2025/9/1
Y1 - 2025/9/1
N2 - Here we present a research framework for the first atmosphere-connected supermodel using state-of-the-art atmospheric models. The Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) versions 5 and 6 exchange information interactively while running, a process known as supermodeling. The primary goal of this approach is to synchronize the models, allowing them to create a new dynamical system which can theoretically benefit from each component model, in part by increasing the dimensionality of the system. In this study, we examine a single untrained supermodel where each model version is equally weighted in creating pseudo-observations. We demonstrate that the models synchronize well without decreased variability, particularly in storm track regions, across multiple timescales, and for variables where no information has been exchanged. Synchronization is less pronounced in the tropics, and in regions of lesser synchronization we observe a decrease in high-frequency variability. Additionally, the low-frequency modes of variability (North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific North American Pattern) are not degraded compared to the base models. For some variables, the mean bias, as well as the non-interactive ensemble mean, is reduced compared to control simulations of each model version.
AB - Here we present a research framework for the first atmosphere-connected supermodel using state-of-the-art atmospheric models. The Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) versions 5 and 6 exchange information interactively while running, a process known as supermodeling. The primary goal of this approach is to synchronize the models, allowing them to create a new dynamical system which can theoretically benefit from each component model, in part by increasing the dimensionality of the system. In this study, we examine a single untrained supermodel where each model version is equally weighted in creating pseudo-observations. We demonstrate that the models synchronize well without decreased variability, particularly in storm track regions, across multiple timescales, and for variables where no information has been exchanged. Synchronization is less pronounced in the tropics, and in regions of lesser synchronization we observe a decrease in high-frequency variability. Additionally, the low-frequency modes of variability (North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific North American Pattern) are not degraded compared to the base models. For some variables, the mean bias, as well as the non-interactive ensemble mean, is reduced compared to control simulations of each model version.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105014932506
U2 - 10.5194/gmd-18-5451-2025
DO - 10.5194/gmd-18-5451-2025
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105014932506
SN - 1991-959X
VL - 18
SP - 5451
EP - 5465
JO - Geoscientific Model Development
JF - Geoscientific Model Development
IS - 17
ER -