TY - JOUR
T1 - Improving simulations of daily mean dynamic sea level extremes in the Gulf of Mexico with high-resolution community earth system model
AU - Xu, Gaopeng
AU - Chang, Ping
AU - Danabasoglu, Gokhan
AU - Castruccio, Frederic S.
AU - Yeager, Stephen
AU - Zhang, Qiuying
AU - Kurian, Jaison
AU - Bates, Susan
AU - Shepard, Christine C.
AU - Small, Justin
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
PY - 2025/10/1
Y1 - 2025/10/1
N2 - Extreme sea-level events, such as those caused by tropical cyclones (TCs), pose significant risks to coastal areas. However, the current generation of climate models struggles to simulate these events due to coarse resolution. By comparing high-resolution (HR) and low-resolution (LR) Community Earth System Model simulations with tide gauge and altimeter data along the US. Gulf of Mexico (GoM) coast, we find that HR better represents both mean dynamic sea level (DSL) and daily mean extreme DSL (EDSL) statistics. In contrast, LR significantly underestimates the strength of EDSL mainly due to its deficiency in simulating strong TCs. Both observations and HR show larger daily mean EDSL on the western Gulf coast than on the eastern side, highlighting the need for HR climate simulations to improve coastal resilience planning.
AB - Extreme sea-level events, such as those caused by tropical cyclones (TCs), pose significant risks to coastal areas. However, the current generation of climate models struggles to simulate these events due to coarse resolution. By comparing high-resolution (HR) and low-resolution (LR) Community Earth System Model simulations with tide gauge and altimeter data along the US. Gulf of Mexico (GoM) coast, we find that HR better represents both mean dynamic sea level (DSL) and daily mean extreme DSL (EDSL) statistics. In contrast, LR significantly underestimates the strength of EDSL mainly due to its deficiency in simulating strong TCs. Both observations and HR show larger daily mean EDSL on the western Gulf coast than on the eastern side, highlighting the need for HR climate simulations to improve coastal resilience planning.
KW - extreme sea levels
KW - high-resolution climate models
KW - tropical cyclones
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105015034449
U2 - 10.1088/1748-9326/adff97
DO - 10.1088/1748-9326/adff97
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105015034449
SN - 1748-9326
VL - 20
JO - Environmental Research Letters
JF - Environmental Research Letters
IS - 10
M1 - 104023
ER -