TY - JOUR
T1 - Integrating Prediction of Precipitation and Hydrology for Early Actions
T2 - The InPRHA Project within the World Weather Research Programme
AU - Cattoën, Céline
AU - Carr, Rachel Hogan
AU - Bennett, James
AU - Dougherty, Erin
AU - Fortin, Vincent
AU - Imhoff, Ruben
AU - Lee, Gyuwon
AU - Luo, Yali
AU - Mapedza, Everisto
AU - Polcher, Jan
AU - Prabhakaran, Thara
AU - Taylor, Andrea
AU - Leon, Jose Valles
AU - Phillips, Simone
AU - Kleist, Daryl
AU - Ramos, Maria Helena
AU - Caltabiano, Nico
AU - Davis, Chris
AU - Coning, Estelle De
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 American Meteorological Society.
PY - 2025/7
Y1 - 2025/7
N2 - Despite advancements in science and technology, flood prediction and preparedness remain challenging due to uncertainties in forecasting atmospheric and hydrologic processes, limited real-time data, and communication barriers. The Integrating Prediction of Precipitation and Hydrology for Early Actions (InPRHA) project, a 5-yr initiative under the WMO’s World Weather Research Programme, is the first to bring together meteorology, hydrology, and social sciences within a steering committee to address these challenges. Building on knowledge from the High Impact Weather (HiWeather) project, InPRHA focuses on multihazard flood forecasting across the entire warning value chain from minutes to days, in a rapidly changing world. A key emphasis is understanding flood predictability and how uncertainties cascade through forecasting systems and are perceived, communicated, and acted upon by diverse stakeholders. This includes bridging research and operations, examining socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental challenges that influence risk perception and response. We propose key scientific questions across seven themes that address critical gaps in integrating predictions along the flood warning value chain. Addressing these gaps requires collaboration across disciplines and agencies. The project is structured into four work packages: DEFINE (identifying challenges), CONSTRUCT (gathering case studies), EXPERIMENT (scientific evaluations), and ENGAGE (community collaboration). Research will span rural, urban, and underdeveloped regions as well as countries with established warning systems, ensuring broad applicability. We invite scientists and practitioners from meteorology, hydrology, hydraulics, impacts, communication, human behavior, and economics to collaborate. By integrating disciplines and fostering transdisciplinary research, InPRHA aims to advance the science and practice of flood forecasting and early warnings to better protect vulnerable communities at risk.
AB - Despite advancements in science and technology, flood prediction and preparedness remain challenging due to uncertainties in forecasting atmospheric and hydrologic processes, limited real-time data, and communication barriers. The Integrating Prediction of Precipitation and Hydrology for Early Actions (InPRHA) project, a 5-yr initiative under the WMO’s World Weather Research Programme, is the first to bring together meteorology, hydrology, and social sciences within a steering committee to address these challenges. Building on knowledge from the High Impact Weather (HiWeather) project, InPRHA focuses on multihazard flood forecasting across the entire warning value chain from minutes to days, in a rapidly changing world. A key emphasis is understanding flood predictability and how uncertainties cascade through forecasting systems and are perceived, communicated, and acted upon by diverse stakeholders. This includes bridging research and operations, examining socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental challenges that influence risk perception and response. We propose key scientific questions across seven themes that address critical gaps in integrating predictions along the flood warning value chain. Addressing these gaps requires collaboration across disciplines and agencies. The project is structured into four work packages: DEFINE (identifying challenges), CONSTRUCT (gathering case studies), EXPERIMENT (scientific evaluations), and ENGAGE (community collaboration). Research will span rural, urban, and underdeveloped regions as well as countries with established warning systems, ensuring broad applicability. We invite scientists and practitioners from meteorology, hydrology, hydraulics, impacts, communication, human behavior, and economics to collaborate. By integrating disciplines and fostering transdisciplinary research, InPRHA aims to advance the science and practice of flood forecasting and early warnings to better protect vulnerable communities at risk.
KW - Decision making
KW - Emergency preparedness
KW - Ensembles
KW - Forecasting
KW - Hydrometeorology
KW - Short-range prediction
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105011180978
U2 - 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0332.1
DO - 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0332.1
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105011180978
SN - 0003-0007
VL - 106
SP - E1303-E1318
JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
IS - 7
ER -