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Inter-basin contrast in the Southern Ocean warming

  • Yuanyuan Song
  • , Yuanlong Li
  • , Gaël Forget
  • , Aixue Hu
  • , Qian Li
  • , Jia Rui Shi
  • , Xiaodan Chen
  • , Kai Ge
  • , Fan Wang
  • CAS - Institute of Oceanology
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research
  • Florida State University
  • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
  • University of New York
  • Fudan University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The Southern Ocean (SO) is a major contributor to global ocean heat uptake, exhibiting deep-reaching warming trends within the 35°S-55°S band. Here, we reveal a notable inter-basin contrast in the SO warming rates. Over the past six decades, the warming of the 0-700 m Atlantic-Indian sector was 40.0 ± 5.7% faster than the Pacific sector, nearly doubling at ~44°S. Ocean-only and coupled model experiments suggest that this basin-scale contrast arises from alterations in wind-driven heat redistribution rather than surface heating. Specifically, the intensification and poleward migration of westerly winds are more prominent in the Atlantic-Indian sector, leading to stronger upper-layer heat convergence. The inter-basin warming contrast is projected to persist and amplify throughout the remainder of the 21st century. This study highlights the inter-basin contrast in the past and future SO warming, with useful implications for understanding regional changes in the SO climate, ice mass, and marine ecosystems.

Original languageEnglish
Article number9063
JournalNature Communications
Volume16
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2025
Externally publishedYes

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