TY - JOUR
T1 - Investigating the use of terrain-following coordinates in AI-driven precipitation forecasts
AU - Sha, Yingkai
AU - Schreck, John S.
AU - Chapman, William
AU - Gagne, David John, II
PY - 2025/3/1
Y1 - 2025/3/1
N2 - Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often
produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel
solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following
coordinates into AIWP models. Forecast experiments are conducted to
evaluate the effectiveness of terrain-following coordinates using FuXi,
an example AIWP model, adapted to 1.0 degree grid spacing data.
Verification results show a largely improved estimation of extreme
events and precipitation intensity spectra. Terrain-following
coordinates are also found to collaborate well with global mass and
energy conservation constraints, with a clear reduction of drizzle bias.
Case studies reveal that terrain-following coordinates can represent
near-surface winds better, which helps AIWP models in learning the
relationships between precipitation and other prognostic variables. The
result of this study suggests that terrain-following coordinates are
worth considering for AIWP models in producing more accurate
precipitation forecasts.
AB - Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often
produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel
solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following
coordinates into AIWP models. Forecast experiments are conducted to
evaluate the effectiveness of terrain-following coordinates using FuXi,
an example AIWP model, adapted to 1.0 degree grid spacing data.
Verification results show a largely improved estimation of extreme
events and precipitation intensity spectra. Terrain-following
coordinates are also found to collaborate well with global mass and
energy conservation constraints, with a clear reduction of drizzle bias.
Case studies reveal that terrain-following coordinates can represent
near-surface winds better, which helps AIWP models in learning the
relationships between precipitation and other prognostic variables. The
result of this study suggests that terrain-following coordinates are
worth considering for AIWP models in producing more accurate
precipitation forecasts.
KW - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
KW - Artificial Intelligence
M3 - Article
JO - arXiv
JF - arXiv
ER -