Mid-Holocene NAO: A PMIP2 model intercomparison

  • R. M. Gladstone
  • , I. Ross
  • , P. J. Valdes
  • , A. Abe-Ouchi
  • , P. Braconnot
  • , S. Brewer
  • , M. Kageyama
  • , A. Kitoh
  • , A. Legrande
  • , O. Marti
  • , R. Ohgaito
  • , B. Otto-Bliesner
  • , W. R. Peltier
  • , G. Vettoretti

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

64 Scopus citations

Abstract

The mid-Holocene (6000 years before present) North Atantic Oscillation (NAO) from nine models in the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Phase 2 is studied, primarily through principal component analysis of winter time North Atlantic sea level pressure (SLP). Modeled mid-Holocene NAO and mean SLP show small changes compared to pre-industrial control runs, with a shift in mean state towards a more positive NAO regime for three of the models. Modeled NAO variability shows little change, with a small increase for some models in the fraction of time spent in the NAO-negative phase during the mid-Holocene. Proxy based reconstructions of the NAO indicate a more positive NAO regime compared to present day during the mid- Holocene. We hypothesise that there was a small NAO+ like shift in mean state during the mid-Holocene.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberL16707
Pages (from-to)1-4
Number of pages4
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume32
Issue number16
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 28 2005

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