Notice of Removal: Impact of distributed PV on demand load forecasts

Sue Ellen Haupt, Susan Dettling, John Williams, Julia Pearson, Tara Jensen, Thomas Brummet, Branko Kosovic, Gerry Wiener, Tyler McCandless

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The growing penetration of distributed photovoltaic (DPV) solar power production 'behind the meter' has been making a substantial impact on electrical net load, increasing its variability and making it more difficult to predict. NCAR's DICast® provides accurate weather forecasts, which are harnessed by a statistical learning approach based on regression trees to forecast both DPV and net load. The system provides day-ahead forecasts within a couple percent of accuracy on average. Its design permits DPV predictions to be directly integrated into the net load forecast, enabling straightforward adaptation over time as DPV capacity increases. This approach will allow utilities and independent system operators to better deal with increasing penetration of distributed generation.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 IEEE 44th Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2017
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-6
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781509056057
DOIs
StatePublished - 2017
Event44th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2017 - Washington, United States
Duration: Jun 25 2017Jun 30 2017

Publication series

Name2017 IEEE 44th Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2017

Conference

Conference44th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2017
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityWashington
Period06/25/1706/30/17

Keywords

  • Distributed generation
  • Grid integration
  • Load forecasting
  • Photovoltaic power
  • Solar energy

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