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Optimization of feature inputs in machine learning-based multi-source precipitation merging

  • Yue Xu
  • , Guoqiang Tang
  • , Siyu Zhu
  • , Lingjie Li
  • , Wentao Xiong
  • , Meihong Ma
  • , Wei Wan
  • Peking University
  • Wuhan University
  • University of Oklahoma
  • Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute
  • Tianjin Normal University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Scopus citations

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) algorithms have become pivotal for merging multi-source data to generate high-quality precipitation datasets. However, several critical challenges in feature engineering remain underexplored, limiting both the accuracy and interpretability of ML-based methods. This study systematically investigates three overlooked aspects of feature engineering: data independence in gauge-calibrated datasets, the generalization of predictors across diverse regions, and the interaction between feature combinations and gauge density. We conducted controlled experiments in mainland China, focusing on spatial and temporal prediction scenarios using four ML models, including random forest, artificial neural network, convolutional neural network, and self-attention modules. The results reveal that gauge data leakage caused by data dependence problems can lead to overestimated merging performance, especially for spatial prediction scenario. Although high-quality precipitation datasets typically outperform others, their contribution varies regionally in ML applications, with other predictors in lower performance, such as infrared-based precipitation datasets, gaining increasing importance in areas like the Tibetan Plateau and Xinjiang. Moreover, our analysis shows that as gauge density decreases, simpler feature combinations excluding auxiliary variables outperform more complex ones. Overall, our findings provide actionable insights for refining feature engineering practices and developing robust and accurate precipitation datasets.

Original languageEnglish
Article number134185
JournalJournal of Hydrology
Volume663
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2025
Externally publishedYes

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