Abstract
At present no skilful, quantitative technique exists for the operational prediction of changes in tropical cyclone intensity. Here we describe the application of a Markov chain technique to this difficult problem. The method predicts transitional probabilities between five discrete categories of intensity and these probabilities are applied to short-period (24 hours) forecasting of tropical cyclones in the Australian region. -from Authors
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 41-46 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| Journal | Australian Meteorological Magazine |
| Volume | 40 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| State | Published - 1992 |