Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise

Thomas Jacob, John Wahr, W. Tad Pfeffer, Sean Swenson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

894 Scopus citations

Abstract

Glaciers and ice caps (GICs) are important contributors to present-day global mean sea level rise. Most previous global mass balance estimates for GICs rely on extrapolation of sparse mass balance measurements representing only a small fraction of the GIC area, leaving their overall contribution to sea level rise unclear. Here we show that GICs, excluding the Greenland and Antarctic peripheral GICs, lost mass at a rate of 148-±-30-Gt-yr -1 from January 2003 to December 2010, contributing 0.41-±-0.08-mm-yr -1 to sea level rise. Our results are based on a global, simultaneous inversion of monthly GRACE-derived satellite gravity fields, from which we calculate the mass change over all ice-covered regions greater in area than 100-km 2. The GIC rate for 2003-2010 is about 30 per cent smaller than the previous mass balance estimate that most closely matches our study period. The high mountains of Asia, in particular, show a mass loss of only 4-±-20-Gt-yr -1 for 2003-2010, compared with 47-55-Gt-yr -1 in previously published estimates. For completeness, we also estimate that the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, including their peripheral GICs, contributed 1.06-±-0.19-mm-yr -1 to sea level rise over the same time period. The total contribution to sea level rise from all ice-covered regions is thus 1.48-±-0.26-mm- -1, which agrees well with independent estimates of sea level rise originating from land ice loss and other terrestrial sources.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)514-518
Number of pages5
JournalNature
Volume482
Issue number7386
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 23 2012

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