Abstract
Tropical waves shape weather across equatorial regions, yet their representation in global models remains a for-midable challenge. This study investigates how model fidelity depends on two key factors: horizontal resolution (120 km to 3.75 km) and the treatment of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). The 3.75-km simulation with explicit convection most faithfully reproduces wave structures and wave-driven rainfall. Interestingly, a 15-km simulation with an alternative parameterization scheme achieves comparable structural fidelity and wave-driven rainfall, but at the cost of a pronounced overall precipitation bias. Moreover, simulations that excel at capturing wave structure tend to perform poorly in reproducing propagation speed, whereas parameterized simulations—though less realistic in structure and rainfall—represent speed more accurately. This trade-off highlights both the promise and the limitations of global kilometer-scale models and underscores the need for continued model development to advance tropical weather and climate prediction.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 707-726 |
| Number of pages | 20 |
| Journal | Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan |
| Volume | 103 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 2025 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- convection
- model evaluation
- numerical modeling
- numerical weather prediction
- the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains
- tropical climate variability
- tropical waves