TY - JOUR
T1 - Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1-versus 3-km Grid Spacing
AU - Weisman, Morris L.
AU - Manning, Kevin W.
AU - Sobash, Ryan A.
AU - Schwartz, Craig S.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 American Meteorological Society. For information regardin.
PY - 2023/3/1
Y1 - 2023/3/1
N2 - Herein, 14 severe quasi-linear convective systems (QLCS) covering a wide range of geographical locations and environmental conditions are simulated for both 1-and 3-km horizontal grid resolutions, to further clarify their com-parative capabilities in representing convective system features associated with severe weather production. Emphasis is placed on validating the simulated reflectivity structures, cold pool strength, mesoscale vortex characteristics, and surface wind strength. As to the overall reflectivity characteristics, the basic leading-line trailing stratiform structure was often bet-ter defined at 1 versus 3 km, but both resolutions were capable of producing bow echo and line echo wave pattern type fea-tures. Cold pool characteristics for both the 1-and 3-km simulations were also well replicated for the differing environments, with the 1-km cold pools slightly colder and often a bit larger. Both resolutions captured the larger meso-scale vortices, such as line-end or bookend vortices, but smaller, leading-line mesoscale updraft vortices, that often pro-mote QLCS tornadogenesis, were largely absent in the 3-km simulations. Finally, while maximum surface winds were only marginally well predicted for both resolutions, the simulations were able to reasonably differentiate the relative contribu-tions of the cold pool versus mesoscale vortices. The present results suggest that while many QLCS characteristics can be reasonably represented at a grid scale of 3 km, some of the more detailed structures, such as overall reflectivity characteristics and the smaller leading-line mesoscale vortices would likely benefitfromthefiner 1-km grid spacing.
AB - Herein, 14 severe quasi-linear convective systems (QLCS) covering a wide range of geographical locations and environmental conditions are simulated for both 1-and 3-km horizontal grid resolutions, to further clarify their com-parative capabilities in representing convective system features associated with severe weather production. Emphasis is placed on validating the simulated reflectivity structures, cold pool strength, mesoscale vortex characteristics, and surface wind strength. As to the overall reflectivity characteristics, the basic leading-line trailing stratiform structure was often bet-ter defined at 1 versus 3 km, but both resolutions were capable of producing bow echo and line echo wave pattern type fea-tures. Cold pool characteristics for both the 1-and 3-km simulations were also well replicated for the differing environments, with the 1-km cold pools slightly colder and often a bit larger. Both resolutions captured the larger meso-scale vortices, such as line-end or bookend vortices, but smaller, leading-line mesoscale updraft vortices, that often pro-mote QLCS tornadogenesis, were largely absent in the 3-km simulations. Finally, while maximum surface winds were only marginally well predicted for both resolutions, the simulations were able to reasonably differentiate the relative contribu-tions of the cold pool versus mesoscale vortices. The present results suggest that while many QLCS characteristics can be reasonably represented at a grid scale of 3 km, some of the more detailed structures, such as overall reflectivity characteristics and the smaller leading-line mesoscale vortices would likely benefitfromthefiner 1-km grid spacing.
KW - Cloud resolving models
KW - Mesoscale forecasting
KW - Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
KW - Short-range prediction
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85149855679
U2 - 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0112.1
DO - 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0112.1
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85149855679
SN - 0882-8156
VL - 38
SP - 401
EP - 423
JO - Weather and Forecasting
JF - Weather and Forecasting
IS - 3
ER -