Abstract
Observations reveal significant negative trends in reflected shortwave radiation over the 21st century. The global-mean darkening is primarily driven by clouds, while the global-mean atmospheric clear-sky signal is near zero due to offsetting trends in the two hemispheres. Northern Hemisphere clear-sky darkening is dominated by reduced anthropogenic aerosol emissions over population centers. The Southern Hemisphere (SH), in contrast, exhibits an unexpected widespread atmospheric clear-sky brightening, particularly over the remote Southern Ocean (SO). We ascribe this brightening to an increase in aerosol optical depth (AOD). Based on observed correlations between monthly-mean wind speed and AOD over the SO, we conclude the trends in AOD come from enhanced wind-driven sea spray aerosol emissions driven by increasing near-surface winds. We discuss the implications of SO brightening for deviations away from the observed hemispheric albedo symmetry and more generally as a potential negative Earth system feedback.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | e2025GL119637 |
| Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Volume | 53 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Jan 16 2026 |
Keywords
- aerosol
- albedo symmetry
- radiation
- sea spray
- southern ocean
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