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Spatial clustering of summer temperature maxima from the CNRM-CM5 climate model ensembles & E-OBS over Europe

  • Margot Bador
  • , Philippe Naveau
  • , Eric Gilleland
  • , Mercè Castellà
  • , Tatiana Arivelo
    • CNRS/CERFACS
    • Université Versailles St-Quentin
    • Universidad Rovira i Virgili
    • United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, Addis Ababa

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    37 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    Reducing the dimensionality of the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling, especially ensembles of climate models, is a challenging and important objective. For studies of detection and attribution, it is especially important to maintain information related to the extreme values of the atmospheric processes. Typical methods for data reduction involve summarizing climate model output information through means and variances, which does not preserve any information about the extremes. In order to help solve this challenge, a dependence summary measure appropriate for extreme values must be inferred. Here, we adapt one such measure from a recent study to a larger domain with a different variable and gridded data from observations and climate model ensembles, i.e. E-OBS observations and the CNRM-CM5 model. The handling of such ensembles of data is proposed, as well as a comparison of the spatial clusterings between two different ensembles, here a present-day and a future ensemble of climate simulations. This method yields valid information concerning extremes, while greatly reducing the data set.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)17-24
    Number of pages8
    JournalWeather and Climate Extremes
    Volume9
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Sep 1 2015

    Keywords

    • Climate extreme
    • Data ensemble
    • Multivariate extreme value theory
    • Spatial clustering

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