TY - JOUR
T1 - The Creation of a Research Television Studio to Test Probabilistic Hazard Information with Broadcast Meteorologists in NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed
AU - Obermeier, Holly B.
AU - Berry, Kodi L.
AU - Klockow-Mcclain, Kimberly E.
AU - Campbell, Adrian
AU - Carithers, Caroline
AU - Gerard, Alan
AU - Trujillo-Falcón, Joseph E.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 American Meteorological Society.
PY - 2022/7
Y1 - 2022/7
N2 - Broadcast meteorologists play an essential role in communicating severe weather information from the National Weather Service to the public. Because of their importance, researchers incorporated broadcast meteorologists in the development of probabilistic hazard information (PHI) in NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed. As part of Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs), PHI is meant to bring additional context to severe weather warnings through the inclusion of probability information. Since this information represents a shift in the current paradigm of solely deterministic NWS warnings, understanding end user needs is paramount to create usable and accessible products that result in their intended outcome to serve the public. This paper outlines the establishment of “K-Probabilistic Hazard Information Television” (KPHI-TV), a research infrastructure under the Hazardous Weather Testbed created to study broadcast meteorologists and PHI. A description of the design of KPHI-TV and methods used by researchers are pre-sented, including displaced real-time cases and semistructured interviews. Researchers completed an analysis of the 2018 experiment, using a quantitative analysis of television coverage decisions with PHI, and a thematic analysis of semistruc-tured interviews. Results indicate that no clear probabilistic decision thresholds for PHI emerged among the participants. Other themes arose, including the relationship between PHI and the warning polygon, and communication challenges. Overall, broadcast participants preferred a system that includes PHI over the warning polygon alone, but raised other con-cerns, suggesting iterative research in the design and implementation of PHI should continue.
AB - Broadcast meteorologists play an essential role in communicating severe weather information from the National Weather Service to the public. Because of their importance, researchers incorporated broadcast meteorologists in the development of probabilistic hazard information (PHI) in NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed. As part of Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs), PHI is meant to bring additional context to severe weather warnings through the inclusion of probability information. Since this information represents a shift in the current paradigm of solely deterministic NWS warnings, understanding end user needs is paramount to create usable and accessible products that result in their intended outcome to serve the public. This paper outlines the establishment of “K-Probabilistic Hazard Information Television” (KPHI-TV), a research infrastructure under the Hazardous Weather Testbed created to study broadcast meteorologists and PHI. A description of the design of KPHI-TV and methods used by researchers are pre-sented, including displaced real-time cases and semistructured interviews. Researchers completed an analysis of the 2018 experiment, using a quantitative analysis of television coverage decisions with PHI, and a thematic analysis of semistruc-tured interviews. Results indicate that no clear probabilistic decision thresholds for PHI emerged among the participants. Other themes arose, including the relationship between PHI and the warning polygon, and communication challenges. Overall, broadcast participants preferred a system that includes PHI over the warning polygon alone, but raised other con-cerns, suggesting iterative research in the design and implementation of PHI should continue.
KW - Broadcasting
KW - Communications/ decision making
KW - Probability forecasts/models/distribution
KW - Severe storms
KW - Societal impacts
KW - Tornadoes
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85135205995
U2 - 10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0171.1
DO - 10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0171.1
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85135205995
SN - 1948-8327
VL - 14
SP - 949
EP - 963
JO - Weather, Climate, and Society
JF - Weather, Climate, and Society
IS - 3
ER -