Skip to main navigation Skip to search Skip to main content

The Emissions Model Intercomparison Project (Emissions-MIP): quantifying model sensitivity to emission characteristics

  • Hamza Ahsan
  • , Hailong Wang
  • , Jingbo Wu
  • , Mingxuan Wu
  • , Steven J. Smith
  • , Susanne Bauer
  • , Harrison Suchyta
  • , Dirk Olivie
  • , Gunnar Myhre
  • , Hitoshi Matsui
  • , Huisheng Bian
  • , Jean-Francois Lamarque
  • , Ken Carslaw
  • , Larry Horowitz
  • , Leighton Regayre
  • , Mian Chin
  • , Michael Schulz
  • , Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie
  • , Toshihiko Takemura
  • , Vaishali Naik
  • Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research Program
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration
  • Joint Global Change Res Inst
  • Norwegian Meteorological Institute
  • Nagoya University
  • National Center for Atmospheric Research
  • University of Leeds
  • National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA
  • UK Met Office
  • Kyushu University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

5 Scopus citations

Abstract

Anthropogenic emissions of aerosols and precursor compounds are known to significantly affect the energy balance of the Earth-atmosphere system, alter the formation of clouds and precipitation, and have a substantial impact on human health and the environment. Global models are an essential tool for examining the impacts of these emissions. In this study, we examine the sensitivity of model results to the assumed height of SO 2 injection, seasonality of SO 2 and black carbon (BC) particulate emissions, and the assumed fraction of SO 2 emissions that is injected into the atmosphere as particulate phase sulfate (SO 4 ) in 11 climate and chemistry models, including both chemical transport models and the atmospheric component of Earth system models. We find large variation in atmospheric lifetime across models for SO 2 , SO 4 , and BC, with a particularly large relative variation for SO 2 , which indicates that fundamental aspects of atmospheric sulfur chemistry remain uncertain. Of the perturbations examined in this study, the assumed height of SO 2 injection had the largest overall impacts, particularly on global mean net radiative flux (maximum difference of - 0.35 W m - 2 ), SO 2 lifetime over Northern Hemisphere land (maximum difference of 0.8 d), surface SO 2 concentration (up to 59 % decrease), and surface sulfate concentration (up to 23 % increase). Emitting SO 2 at height consistently increased SO 2 and SO 4 column burdens and shortwave cooling, with varying magnitudes, but had inconsistent effects across models on the sign of the change in implied cloud forcing. The assumed SO 4 emission fraction also had a significant impact on net radiative flux and surface sulfate concentration. Because these properties are not standardized across models this is a source of inter-model diversity typically neglected in model intercomparisons. These results imply a need to ensure that anthropogenic emission injection height and SO 4 emission fraction are accurately and consistently represented in global models.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)14779-14799
Number of pages21
JournalAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Volume23
Issue number23
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 1 2026

Keywords

  • Chemical-transport model
  • Arctic black carbon
  • Earth system models
  • Injection height
  • Climate model
  • Plume-rise
  • Particle formation
  • Aerosol module
  • Sulfur-dioxide
  • Global-model

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'The Emissions Model Intercomparison Project (Emissions-MIP): quantifying model sensitivity to emission characteristics'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this