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The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) contribution to CMIP7-description of new experimental protocols and preliminary results

  • Daniele Visioni
  • , Alan Robock
  • , Alistair Duffey
  • , Matthew Henry
  • , Haruki Hirasawa
  • , Walker Raymond Lee
  • , Cindy Wang
  • , Kelsey Roberts
  • , Shingo Watanabe
  • , Michelle Simoes Reboita
  • , Masahiro Sugiyama
  • , Ben Kravitz
  • , Jim Haywood
  • , Simone Tilmes
  • , Frederic K. Bonou
  • , Jack Chen
  • , Timofei Sukhodolov
  • , Sandro Vattioni
  • , Andrin Jorimann
  • , Diego Villanueva
  • Ryan Vella, Paul Farron, Ewa Bednarz, Ulrike Niemeier, Colleen Golja, Juan A. Anel
  • Cornell University
  • Earth System Modelling Laboratory at Rutgers University
  • University of Exeter
  • University of Washington
  • Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science & Technology (JAMSTEC)
  • Tohoku University
  • Universidade Federal de Itajuba
  • The University of Tokyo
  • Indiana University System
  • Climate & Global Dynam Lab
  • World Radiat Ctr
  • Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain
  • University of Colorado System
  • Max Planck Society
  • Imperial College London
  • EPhysLab

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) is a coordinated international model intercomparison effort with the aim of providing robust experimental protocols for simulations of various Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) methods. Through many iterations and discussions within the GeoMIP community, it has become clear that balancing simplicity, scientific realism, policy relevance and associated complexities is fundamental when designing modeling experiments. Such experiments must both diagnose areas of model agreement and disagreement through the lens of climate science and provide results useful for understanding the potential downstream impacts of SRM across different sectors. Here we present a suite of new climate model experiments designed for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7), building on lessons learned from previous GeoMIP experiments, recent SRM research, and new simulations developed for CMIP7. We provide detailed experimental designs and their underlying rationale, including preliminary results from sensitivity analyses performed with CMIP6 models. Compared to previous GeoMIP iterations, we organize experiments into three categories: (i) Preparatory Experiments, designed to diagnose model responses and inform more complex experimental designs; (ii) Tier 1 experiments, the core simulations that all participating models should run; and (iii) Tier 2 experiments, which provide a flexible framework for exploring structural and scenario uncertainties under SRM, including the potential interaction with temporary overshoot scenarios and tipping elements dynamics. This framework encourages modeling groups to propose their own experiments building upon the Tier 1 backbone, enabling more targeted exploration while ensuring cross-model compatibility.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)8469-8499
Number of pages31
JournalGeoscientific Model Development
Volume19
Issue number17
Early online dateSep 2026
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 11 2026

Keywords

  • Solar-radiation modification
  • Stratospheric aerosol injections
  • Climate response
  • Global temperature
  • Sulfur injections
  • System models
  • Cloud
  • Impacts
  • Precipitation
  • Intervention

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