The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results

Linda O. Mearns; Ray Arritt; Sébastien Biner; Melissa S. Bukovsky; Seth McGinnis; Stephan Sain; Daniel Caya; James Correia; Dave Flory; William Gutowski; Eugene S. Takle; Richard Jones; Ruby Leung; Wilfran Moufouma-Okia; Larry McDaniel; Ana M.B. Nunes; Yun Qian; John Roads; Lisa Sloan; Mark Snyder

doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00223.1

The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results

Linda O. Mearns, Ray Arritt, Sébastien Biner, Melissa S. Bukovsky, Seth McGinnis, Stephan Sain, Daniel Caya, James Correia, Dave Flory, William Gutowski, Eugene S. Takle, Richard Jones, Ruby Leung, Wilfran Moufouma-Okia, Larry McDaniel, Ana M.B. Nunes, Yun Qian, John Roads, Lisa Sloan, Mark Snyder

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Abstract

North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) evaluated temperature and precipitation results from six regional climate models driven by NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II boundary conditions for 1980-2004 to investigate uncertainties in regional-scale climate projections. The program included six RCMs use boundary conditions from the NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II (R2) for a 25-yr period. It also included boundary conditions provided by four AOGCMs for 30 years of current climate (1971-2000) and 30 years of a future climate (2041-70) for the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario. The results are found to be within the range of those found in other multiple model comparisons, seasonal temperature is relatively well produced by most models but seasonal precipitation is less so. With regard to seasonal average temperature biases over the whole domain RSM and MM5 had the lowest total RMSEs, whereas HadRM3 had the greatest overall temperature bias.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1337-1362
Number of pages	26
Journal	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume	93
Issue number	9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00223.1
State	Published - Sep 2012
Externally published	Yes

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Mearns, L. O., Arritt, R., Biner, S., Bukovsky, M. S., McGinnis, S., Sain, S., Caya, D., Correia, J., Flory, D., Gutowski, W., Takle, E. S., Jones, R., Leung, R., Moufouma-Okia, W., McDaniel, L., Nunes, A. M. B., Qian, Y., Roads, J., Sloan, L., & Snyder, M. (2012). The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93(9), 1337-1362. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00223.1

@article{d8d77c4ca8cb4deb8215e97c21aee2d5,

title = "The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results",

abstract = "North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) evaluated temperature and precipitation results from six regional climate models driven by NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II boundary conditions for 1980-2004 to investigate uncertainties in regional-scale climate projections. The program included six RCMs use boundary conditions from the NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II (R2) for a 25-yr period. It also included boundary conditions provided by four AOGCMs for 30 years of current climate (1971-2000) and 30 years of a future climate (2041-70) for the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario. The results are found to be within the range of those found in other multiple model comparisons, seasonal temperature is relatively well produced by most models but seasonal precipitation is less so. With regard to seasonal average temperature biases over the whole domain RSM and MM5 had the lowest total RMSEs, whereas HadRM3 had the greatest overall temperature bias.",

author = "Mearns, \{Linda O.\} and Ray Arritt and S{\'e}bastien Biner and Bukovsky, \{Melissa S.\} and Seth McGinnis and Stephan Sain and Daniel Caya and James Correia and Dave Flory and William Gutowski and Takle, \{Eugene S.\} and Richard Jones and Ruby Leung and Wilfran Moufouma-Okia and Larry McDaniel and Nunes, \{Ana M.B.\} and Yun Qian and John Roads and Lisa Sloan and Mark Snyder",

year = "2012",

month = sep,

doi = "10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00223.1",

language = "English",

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journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",

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Mearns, LO, Arritt, R, Biner, S, Bukovsky, MS, McGinnis, S, Sain, S, Caya, D, Correia, J, Flory, D, Gutowski, W, Takle, ES, Jones, R, Leung, R, Moufouma-Okia, W, McDaniel, L, Nunes, AMB, Qian, Y, Roads, J, Sloan, L & Snyder, M 2012, 'The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 93, no. 9, pp. 1337-1362. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00223.1

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AU - Mearns, Linda O.

AU - Arritt, Ray

AU - Biner, Sébastien

AU - Bukovsky, Melissa S.

AU - McGinnis, Seth

AU - Sain, Stephan

AU - Caya, Daniel

AU - Correia, James

AU - Flory, Dave

AU - Gutowski, William

AU - Takle, Eugene S.

AU - Jones, Richard

AU - Leung, Ruby

AU - Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran

AU - McDaniel, Larry

AU - Nunes, Ana M.B.

AU - Qian, Yun

AU - Roads, John

AU - Sloan, Lisa

AU - Snyder, Mark

PY - 2012/9

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N2 - North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) evaluated temperature and precipitation results from six regional climate models driven by NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II boundary conditions for 1980-2004 to investigate uncertainties in regional-scale climate projections. The program included six RCMs use boundary conditions from the NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II (R2) for a 25-yr period. It also included boundary conditions provided by four AOGCMs for 30 years of current climate (1971-2000) and 30 years of a future climate (2041-70) for the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario. The results are found to be within the range of those found in other multiple model comparisons, seasonal temperature is relatively well produced by most models but seasonal precipitation is less so. With regard to seasonal average temperature biases over the whole domain RSM and MM5 had the lowest total RMSEs, whereas HadRM3 had the greatest overall temperature bias.

AB - North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) evaluated temperature and precipitation results from six regional climate models driven by NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II boundary conditions for 1980-2004 to investigate uncertainties in regional-scale climate projections. The program included six RCMs use boundary conditions from the NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II (R2) for a 25-yr period. It also included boundary conditions provided by four AOGCMs for 30 years of current climate (1971-2000) and 30 years of a future climate (2041-70) for the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario. The results are found to be within the range of those found in other multiple model comparisons, seasonal temperature is relatively well produced by most models but seasonal precipitation is less so. With regard to seasonal average temperature biases over the whole domain RSM and MM5 had the lowest total RMSEs, whereas HadRM3 had the greatest overall temperature bias.

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EP - 1362

JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

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ER -

The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results

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