TY - JOUR
T1 - The TT problem
T2 - Forecasting the tropical transition of cyclones
AU - Davis, Christopher A.
AU - Bosart, Lance F.
PY - 2004/11
Y1 - 2004/11
N2 - The Tropical Cyclone Reports states that the development of nearly half of the Atlantic tropical cyclones from 2000 to 2003 depended on an extratropical precursors. A fundamental dynamic and thermodynamic transformation of such disturbance is required to create a warm-core tropical cyclone. The process is referred to as tropical transition (TT), to be contrasted with extratropical transition (ET), which results in an extratropical disturbance given a tropical cyclone. Focusing on the Atlantic basin, this paper reviews briefly what is known about TT and how it can be anticipated. While TT storms typically do not exceed Category 2 intensity, their tendency to form close to North America can create significant forecast and evacuation problems.
AB - The Tropical Cyclone Reports states that the development of nearly half of the Atlantic tropical cyclones from 2000 to 2003 depended on an extratropical precursors. A fundamental dynamic and thermodynamic transformation of such disturbance is required to create a warm-core tropical cyclone. The process is referred to as tropical transition (TT), to be contrasted with extratropical transition (ET), which results in an extratropical disturbance given a tropical cyclone. Focusing on the Atlantic basin, this paper reviews briefly what is known about TT and how it can be anticipated. While TT storms typically do not exceed Category 2 intensity, their tendency to form close to North America can create significant forecast and evacuation problems.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/10944255923
U2 - 10.1175/BAMS-85-11-1657
DO - 10.1175/BAMS-85-11-1657
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:10944255923
SN - 0003-0007
VL - 85
SP - 1657
EP - 1662
JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
IS - 11
ER -