Use of Doppler radar data to improve hurricane intensity forecasts

Jin Luen Lee, A. E. MacDonald, Y. H. Kuo, W. C. Lee, W. Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

The intensity forecasts are improved by the use of high-resolution Doppler radar data to properly initialize inner-core circulation for high-resolution numerical models. The mesoscale vorticity method is used to diagnose the vertical velocity and divergent wind based on the vorticity equation including the tilting terms. To generate the dynamically consistent datasets for unobserved fields such as heating and cloud fields, a four-dimensional data assimilation system (FDDA) based on Newtonian relaxation is used. The results show positive radar data impacts on track and intensity forecasts and a comparison of forecast winds and radar wind measurements show that the use of radar data improves the intensity and horizontal structure of forecast wind fields.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2157-2160
Number of pages4
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
StatePublished - 2004
EventCombined Preprints: 84th American Meteorological Society (AMS) Annual Meeting - Seattle, WA., United States
Duration: Jan 11 2004Jan 15 2004

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