Verification of multi-models for an extreme event over Egypt in January 2010

Amira S. Ibrahim; Tarek Sayad; Endalkachew Bekele; Zeinab Salah

doi:10.14456/ea.2018.35

Verification of multi-models for an extreme event over Egypt in January 2010

Amira S. Ibrahim, Tarek Sayad, Endalkachew Bekele, Zeinab Salah

Cooperative Programs for the Advancement of Earth System Science

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Abstract

This case study represents a heavy rainfall event over Egypt. This event is in January17, 2010. Although the event occur in winter season, its impact was very unusual for the winter season. In this study attempt was made to perform diagnostic and prognostic analysis of the event. It was found out that the 2010 event was due to interaction between tropical and mid-latitude systems. In general, the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) model among the global models and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) model with the BM (Betts–Miller) convection scheme from the regional models performed better in predicting the characteristics of the event.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	15-26
Number of pages	12
Journal	EnvironmentAsia
Volume	11
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.14456/ea.2018.35
State	Published - Sep 2018

Keywords

Flash floods
Global mode
WRF model

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10.14456/ea.2018.35

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title = "Verification of multi-models for an extreme event over Egypt in January 2010",

abstract = "This case study represents a heavy rainfall event over Egypt. This event is in January17, 2010. Although the event occur in winter season, its impact was very unusual for the winter season. In this study attempt was made to perform diagnostic and prognostic analysis of the event. It was found out that the 2010 event was due to interaction between tropical and mid-latitude systems. In general, the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) model among the global models and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) model with the BM (Betts–Miller) convection scheme from the regional models performed better in predicting the characteristics of the event.",

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author = "Ibrahim, \{Amira S.\} and Tarek Sayad and Endalkachew Bekele and Zeinab Salah",

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AU - Salah, Zeinab

PY - 2018/9

Y1 - 2018/9

N2 - This case study represents a heavy rainfall event over Egypt. This event is in January17, 2010. Although the event occur in winter season, its impact was very unusual for the winter season. In this study attempt was made to perform diagnostic and prognostic analysis of the event. It was found out that the 2010 event was due to interaction between tropical and mid-latitude systems. In general, the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) model among the global models and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) model with the BM (Betts–Miller) convection scheme from the regional models performed better in predicting the characteristics of the event.

AB - This case study represents a heavy rainfall event over Egypt. This event is in January17, 2010. Although the event occur in winter season, its impact was very unusual for the winter season. In this study attempt was made to perform diagnostic and prognostic analysis of the event. It was found out that the 2010 event was due to interaction between tropical and mid-latitude systems. In general, the ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) model among the global models and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) model with the BM (Betts–Miller) convection scheme from the regional models performed better in predicting the characteristics of the event.

KW - Flash floods

KW - Global mode

KW - WRF model

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DO - 10.14456/ea.2018.35

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JO - EnvironmentAsia

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IS - 3

ER -

Verification of multi-models for an extreme event over Egypt in January 2010

Abstract

Keywords

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