Vulnerability assessment of water resources in Egypt to climatic change in the Nile Basin

Kenneth M. Strzepek; David N. Yates; Dia El Din El Quosy

doi:10.3354/cr006089

Vulnerability assessment of water resources in Egypt to climatic change in the Nile Basin

Kenneth M. Strzepek, David N. Yates, Dia El Din El Quosy

Hydrometeorological Applications Program

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

45 Scopus citations

Abstract

The impacts of global climate change on the water resources of the Nile River Basin were evaluated using simulation models. Four climate change scenarios were evaluated (baseline, GISS, GFDL, and UKMO). The complete impact of climatic changes in the Nile cannot be fully predicted with confidence, as some models forecast increased flows, while others project significant decreases. However, it was observed that the Nile River flow is extremely sensitive to ambient temperature and pre-cipitation changes, and it is possible that the effects of climatic fluctuations would be severe. Several water management options were identified to help adapt Nile River management to a changing global climate.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	89-95
Number of pages	7
Journal	Climate Research
Volume	6
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3354/cr006089
State	Published - Feb 19 1996

Keywords

Climate change
Egypt
Nile
Potential adjustments
Water balance model(s)
Water resources

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10.3354/cr006089

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title = "Vulnerability assessment of water resources in Egypt to climatic change in the Nile Basin",

abstract = "The impacts of global climate change on the water resources of the Nile River Basin were evaluated using simulation models. Four climate change scenarios were evaluated (baseline, GISS, GFDL, and UKMO). The complete impact of climatic changes in the Nile cannot be fully predicted with confidence, as some models forecast increased flows, while others project significant decreases. However, it was observed that the Nile River flow is extremely sensitive to ambient temperature and pre-cipitation changes, and it is possible that the effects of climatic fluctuations would be severe. Several water management options were identified to help adapt Nile River management to a changing global climate.",

keywords = "Climate change, Egypt, Nile, Potential adjustments, Water balance model(s), Water resources",

author = "Strzepek, \{Kenneth M.\} and Yates, \{David N.\} and \{El Din El Quosy\}, Dia",

year = "1996",

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AU - Strzepek, Kenneth M.

AU - Yates, David N.

AU - El Din El Quosy, Dia

PY - 1996/2/19

Y1 - 1996/2/19

N2 - The impacts of global climate change on the water resources of the Nile River Basin were evaluated using simulation models. Four climate change scenarios were evaluated (baseline, GISS, GFDL, and UKMO). The complete impact of climatic changes in the Nile cannot be fully predicted with confidence, as some models forecast increased flows, while others project significant decreases. However, it was observed that the Nile River flow is extremely sensitive to ambient temperature and pre-cipitation changes, and it is possible that the effects of climatic fluctuations would be severe. Several water management options were identified to help adapt Nile River management to a changing global climate.

AB - The impacts of global climate change on the water resources of the Nile River Basin were evaluated using simulation models. Four climate change scenarios were evaluated (baseline, GISS, GFDL, and UKMO). The complete impact of climatic changes in the Nile cannot be fully predicted with confidence, as some models forecast increased flows, while others project significant decreases. However, it was observed that the Nile River flow is extremely sensitive to ambient temperature and pre-cipitation changes, and it is possible that the effects of climatic fluctuations would be severe. Several water management options were identified to help adapt Nile River management to a changing global climate.

KW - Climate change

KW - Egypt

KW - Nile

KW - Potential adjustments

KW - Water balance model(s)

KW - Water resources

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/0029752280

U2 - 10.3354/cr006089

DO - 10.3354/cr006089

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SN - 0936-577X

VL - 6

SP - 89

EP - 95

JO - Climate Research

JF - Climate Research

IS - 2

ER -

Vulnerability assessment of water resources in Egypt to climatic change in the Nile Basin

Abstract

Keywords

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